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Johns Hopkins Health Alert

The Approaching Storm in American Health Care

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If you read Sebastian Junger’s Perfect Storm or saw the Hollywood adaptation, you will probably recall the scene in which a weatherman stares in horror at the radar charts on his computer screen. He watches as three massive weather systems converge toward a point at which they will all collide with unprecedented force. The perfect storm is gathering.

Today, another sort of perfect storm is gaining momentum in American health care. The three factors that are converging with potentially unprecedented impact are:

  • Arthritis. Today approximately one in five American adults have arthritis. Women are particularly at risk for arthritis. According to the Arthritis Foundation, 60 percent of people who have arthritis are women. Arthritis is now the leading cause of disability among older women in the United States and the second most common cause of disability among older men. The Arthritis Foundation estimates that the various forms of the disease cost the U.S. economy more than $128 billion annually.
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  • Age. Nearly 77 million Americans were born between 1946 and 1964, the years of the postwar baby boom. And that massive bulge in the American population is just hitting prime time as far as arthritis is concerned. By 2011, the leading edge of the boomer population will be turning 65, at which point any medical issues they have will exert a major influence on the American health care system.
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  • Obesity. A huge percentage of the boomer population is overweight or obese. Researchers from the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and the Harvard School of Medicine compared the rates of obesity among baby boomers with the rates of obesity in the previous generation (those born between 1926 and 1945). Up to 32 percent of the boomers were obese by age 44, whereas in the previous generation fewer than 18 percent were obese at that age. In other words, boomers are spending more years of their lives obese, so the excess weight has a longer period during which to exert its destructive effects, which include the development of arthritis. It’s no secret that obesity has already reached epidemic proportions in the United States: Almost 67 percent of the U.S. population is currently overweight or obese.

 

When taken together, these numbers clearly indicate that arthritis will be one of the most important public health challenges we face in the next 20 years. However, there is reason for hope, not only for people who have arthritis, but also for people who struggle with their weight. Arthritis and obesity are indeed linked, but important progress is being made in research on both fronts, with reason to be hopeful about the future.

One thing in particular we have learned: The combined impact of aging, obesity and arthritis is neither inevitable nor unbeatable. People with arthritis who manage to lose even modest amounts of weight can enjoy major reductions in pain, major increases in mobility and the enhanced quality of life that results from these changes.

Posted in Arthritis on April 9, 2007
Reviewed June 2011


Medical Disclaimer: This information is not intended to substitute for the advice of a physician. Click here for additional information: Johns Hopkins Health Alerts Disclaimer


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